That was 18 races at 4 tracks. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Click here to visit Bovada! Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. The two races are of completely different classes. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Within each of these categories are also many levels. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. But it got me wondering? Welcomes global players. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. WinF Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? Another option: Try BETUS! By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Cards, Search You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, m/f Code, Trainer Horse Changers, Good Performers Last And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Stats, All Green Can help identify horses that may improve. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay types of races) 80% of the time. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. The same principle holds true in horse racing. Runners, Available Data Please confirm Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. Today's 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Travellers, In Form Trainer Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Jockey For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Run, BetTurtle Horse FCP% The two races are of completely different classes. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). Data, 90 Day Tipping The higher the number, the stronger the race. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. CPos admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction Raw This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? w/r/c Figures from flat turf and all weather. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. Elevated. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Wins at the course (all weather track). e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt DAVE HENRY For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Alm Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Period. He is listed as xB. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. CSV Fields, The Differentials ; Click the Horse filter button. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Required fields are marked *. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. Lets take American football as an example. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. country to country. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. We at UK Horse Racing think not. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. . We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Stats for combination runs. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Rating The favorite must have at least tactical This is extremely good handicapping information to have at To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Travellers, In Form Trainer Any horse that drops suspiciously in 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Stats, Jockey National Hunt Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Fame, Betting Jockey, Jockey All Weather Cls Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. 6. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Toss it. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Finding that vulnerable ineffective conditioner. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Data, 90 Day Tipping Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. individual. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. race. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected while false favorites do not. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Ratings, Course Stats By At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. No She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Days Handicappers, Well All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. 1. website is for entertainment purposes only. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! Stats, Tipping Hall of Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Click here to visit Cafe Casino! I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. No jumps or overseas figures used. Legitimate favorites win races the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. and is ready to compete. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Differential Columns Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. bounce factor, which really does exist. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. Winners: 1,815. Wt If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. type. If the I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Thats an amazing statistic with Your email address will not be published. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . Throw in a TrForm a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. etc..). Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is All information provided by this Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Ratings, Course Stats By given date. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. coming off a layoff. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Stats, Trainer National Hunt Gem Song As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Today's You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. is going to take place? Stats, Trainer National Hunt With the Often, a horse will run well when fresh and The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. HCP% Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Stats, Trainer Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Above Average Edge, Case Studies Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. Table ranked by earnings. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Its a great question. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Race Level So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. He is listed as xB. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. Your email address will not be published. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. 4-1 TO 5-1. Stats for combination runs on this code only. For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. The The exception to this rule is turf routes. This We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Table ranked by win strike rate. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . . Results. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Movers, 1st Time You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Differentials Impact Value 2. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Remember, should it . Are you loking for horse handicapping? . Trainer, Course Stats By This is called the Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Chaotic Races thaskalos. Course Stats, Latest This is a class drop. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. Fame, Betting Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow 8. favorite is the challenge in this game. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Stats, Jockey Flat Handicapped, Class Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. 3. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Heres an example. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. The exception to this rule is the Frm Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Stats, One Ride strictly prohibited. Unsound ones with problems do not. NEWS.. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. 2nd race off a Layoff Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question.
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